Azerbaijan and Russia on the Brink of a Diplomatic Crisis: The Kremlin has made a New Enemy

The
summer of 2025 has brought a sharp escalation in relations between Azerbaijan
and Russia. The catalyst for this diplomatic storm was the tragic death of two
Azerbaijani citizens – the Safarov brothers – in Yekaterinburg. The
investigation revealed evidence of brutal violence by Russian law enforcement,
triggering shock and outrage in Baku. However, behind this wave of humanitarian
indignation lie much deeper and more complex causes – ranging from geopolitical
realignment to concerns over information security.
The
incident in Yekaterinburg, where Russian police detained and allegedly beat the
Safarov brothers to death, caused an unprecedented public outcry. A forensic
medical examination, conducted at Baku’s request, confirmed signs of torture
and abuse. This became the formal reason for Azerbaijan to demand a full
investigation, justice, and an official apology from Moscow. However, the
Russian authorities' restrained and formal response only intensified the
tensions.
Almost
simultaneously with the Safarov case, Azerbaijani police conducted a
large-scale raid on the office of the Russian state media outlet Sputnik in
Baku. Key editorial staff, including the editor-in-chief, were detained, and
some employees are suspected of having links to Russian intelligence services.
Amid growing concerns in Baku about interference in domestic affairs and the
destructive influence of Russian media, this move appeared not as an emotional
reaction, but rather as a clear signal: “We control our information space”. Analysts view it as a demonstration
of sovereignty and media independence, especially in light of Azerbaijan’s
recent rapprochement with the West and its strengthened cooperation with
Turkey.
The
retaliatory measures also included the cancellation of all planned Russian
cultural events in Azerbaijan – concerts, exhibitions, and conferences. In
addition, an official Azerbaijani delegation’s visit to Moscow, including the
Minister of Culture, was postponed, while the visit of the Russian Deputy Prime
Minister to Baku was cancelled without explanation. This cultural freeze is
symbolic: in diplomacy, such actions are not mere "offenses" – they
signify a strategic reevaluation of partnership.
The
crisis is unfolding against the backdrop of Azerbaijan’s evident geopolitical
shift. The country is strengthening its energy cooperation with the EU,
promoting green energy initiatives in partnership with the World Bank, and
openly criticizing Moscow’s proxy influence through media and religious
channels. Closer ties with Turkey and increased engagement with Central Asia
reflect Azerbaijan’s growing aspiration to play an independent role in the
post-Soviet space.
The death of the Safarov brothers was a spark – not the root cause. Azerbaijani-Russian relations have long been based on a fragile balance of coercion, interests, and caution. Today, Baku is making it clear: the era of dependence is over, and every move by Moscow will be met with a firm response. Amid global shifts in energy and geopolitics, Azerbaijan appears determined to stake its claim on full independence – politically, informationally, and culturally.
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14 Jan 2026


