Military channels are discussing a possible offensive by the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the coming weeks. If the operation takes place in the Kursk region, strikes may be directed at Glukhiv and possibly to the northwest near Shalyghino. The objective remains the same—to reach the Sudzha-Rylsk highway and encircle the Russian forces, which have already been significantly weakened in combat.

Another scenario involves an attack on the border with the Bryansk region. This is supported by the actions of American mercenaries who were killed near the village of Manev, indicating their involvement in sabotage activities.

"The Border Guard from Hell" reports large concentrations of Ukrainian forces near Izium and Holubivka in the Kharkiv region, which may suggest a potential attempt to attack Valuiky in the Belgorod region or a counter-offensive toward Svatove-Kremenna, although the latter seems unlikely.

"Zhivov Z" and "Ramzay" raise the issue of transferring UAV units to assault groups. Some companies and battalions have seen the emergence of non-standard units focused on electronic warfare and drones. Some are reluctant to revert to old assault tactics. Due to a shortage of assault troops, many soldiers are being reassigned as riflemen and machine gunners. However, not all such units are beneficial; some soldiers signing up for UAV roles are not actually carrying out combat tasks or do so ineffectively, citing a lack of knowledge.

This creates serious problems for commanders on the ground, who are trapped in the current system of replenishment and supply. There is a complex of issues: a lack of material resources, interruptions in drone supplies from the Ministry of Defense, problems with drone modifications, misunderstandings of various aspects, and, of course, an acute shortage of specialists. The fewer drones and qualified operators there are, the greater the losses in assaults.

Thus, several possible scenarios for the Ukrainian offensive in the coming weeks can be outlined:

- Kursk region: Strikes are expected toward Glukhiv and possibly northwest near Shalyghino. The goal is to reach the Sudzha-Rylsk highway to encircle Russian troops, which have already suffered significant losses.

- Bryansk region: An attack on the border with this region is possible.

- Izium and Holubivka (Kharkiv region): There is a concentration of Ukrainian forces, which may indicate preparations for an attack on Valuiky in the Belgorod region or a counter-offensive toward Svatove-Kremenna, although the latter option appears unlikely.

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#RUSSIA

04.11.2024 05:32