Growing Public Discontent in Russia Amid War and Economic Challenges

    Public dissatisfaction in Russia continues to grow as the war against Ukraine drags on, the economic situation deteriorates, and domestic challenges intensify. Recent data from both state-run and independent polling organizations indicate a gradual decline in support for the Russian authorities and a rise in critical public sentiment.

    According to the independent Levada Center, President Vladimir Putin's approval rating fell to 74% in June, down from 79% the previous month, marking the sharpest monthly decline in recent years. At the same time, the state-run Russian Public Opinion Research Center (VTsIOM) and the Public Opinion Foundation (FOM) also recorded the most significant weekly drop in presidential approval and trust ratings since the start of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine. According to FOM, Putin's approval rating declined to 66%, while the level of public trust fell to 67%, the lowest figures recorded since February 2022.

    Public dissatisfaction with government policies is also increasing. According to a VTsIOM survey, the share of Russians expressing dissatisfaction with the country's foreign policy has reached its highest level in nearly two decades. FOM surveys also show a growing number of citizens who regularly encounter criticism of the authorities within their social circles.


    One of the primary drivers behind changing public attitudes has been the worsening economic situation. During the summer of 2026, Russia experienced a fuel crisis caused by reduced refinery output following Ukrainian drone strikes on oil-processing facilities, logistical disruptions, and the impact of international sanctions. Several regions reported fuel shortages, long queues at gas stations, and even fuel rationing. At the same time, prices for food and essential goods continue to rise, while high interest rates are placing additional pressure on businesses and households.

    Another contributing factor has been the increasing frequency of Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian territory. Almost daily airport closures, mobile internet disruptions, and interruptions to transportation services are increasingly affecting residents in central Russia. Whereas the consequences of the war were previously felt mainly in border regions, they have now become part of everyday life for millions of Russians.

    Another reason for growing public frustration is the lack of prospects for a rapid end to the conflict. After more than four years of fighting, war fatigue is becoming increasingly evident, while hopes for a diplomatic settlement have diminished considerably. According to many analysts, public priorities are gradually shifting away from foreign policy toward concerns about living standards, personal security, and economic stability.

     

    Although official approval ratings for Russia's leadership remain relatively high by international standards, recent trends point to a gradual accumulation of public dissatisfaction. Notably, declining approval is being recorded not only by independent polling organizations but also by state-run sociological institutions, which have traditionally reported higher levels of support for the government.

    The Kremlin's greatest vulnerability now lies in the convergence of several factors: the prolonged war, rising living costs, fuel shortages, regular attacks on Russian territory, and growing uncertainty about the future. While these developments have not yet resulted in large-scale public protests, they are significantly increasing social frustration. According to experts, if economic difficulties and domestic security challenges persist throughout the second half of 2026, the Russian authorities could face further declines in public trust and may be forced to rely more heavily on social support measures and information campaigns to maintain domestic stability.


    CCBS Expert Group


    #ANALYSIS
    #RUSSIA

    04.08.2026 07:25