Sometimes in difficult periods and in the absence of full-fledged information, we have to analyze hidden processes, events in order to predict subsequent actions and possibly the result.

By October 30, the successes of the Azerbaijani army within the framework of the liberation of the territories occupied by Armenia, launched on September 27, destroyed the Minsk negotiation process on the principles: seven regions in exchange for the independence of Nagorno-Karabakh from Baku.

By this date, Azerbaijan was progressively conquering (and is conquering now) its territories, bleeding the Armenian army.

All panic attempts by Armenia to enlist the support of Russia and the West, to drag them into the conflict, by this time failed. The final point on this issue was put by Russian President Vladimir Putin.

Azerbaijan insists on its right to return seven regions that are not related to the ethnic conflict, and further deal with the ownership of Nagorno-Karabakh. Each has its own truth. There are no simple solutions, because the knot is very difficult to tie, he noted at the plenary session of the VTB Capital investment forum "Russia is calling!" on October 29.

It was Putin's public response to a letter of help from desperate Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan. Pashinyan and his electorate categorically reject the precondition for peace by Ilham Aliyev, who requires the unconditional withdrawal of the Armenian Armed Forces from Karabakh.

By October 30, the successes of the Azerbaijani army within the framework of the liberation of the territories occupied by Armenia, launched on September 27, destroyed the Minsk negotiation process on the principles: seven regions in exchange for the independence of Nagorno-Karabakh from Baku.

By this date, Azerbaijan was progressively conquering (and is conquering now) its territories, bleeding the Armenian army.

All panic attempts by Armenia to enlist the support of Russia and the West, to drag them into the conflict, by this time failed. The final point on this issue was put by Russian President Vladimir Putin.

Azerbaijan insists on its right to return seven regions that are not related to the ethnic conflict, and further deal with the ownership of Nagorno-Karabakh. Each has its own truth. There are no simple solutions, because the knot is very difficult to tie, he noted at the plenary session of the VTB Capital investment forum "Russia is calling!" on October 29.

It was Putin's public response to a letter of help from desperate Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan. Pashinyan and his electorate categorically reject the precondition for peace by Ilham Aliyev, who requires the unconditional withdrawal of the Armenian Armed Forces from Karabakh.

In this context, it is clear that Aliyev no longer insists, but believes that the conflict should move from the military to a political track. However, the second part of his statement introduces dissonance.

Most likely, Pashinyan introduced this dissonance into the efforts to bring Armenia out of the military-political stupor. This idea is suggested by Pashinyan's statement on Facebook regarding the terrorist attack in Vienna, made before Aliyev's tweet: “By the way, Nagorno-Karabakh is the anti-terrorist front of this war, and here, without exaggeration, the fate of civilization is being decided. Civilization must win, Vienna! "

Thus, the Armenian prime minister drew a line under the possible shuttle mediation of Turkey and Russia: the war will continue until the last soldier.

 

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Source - Turan 

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#POLITICS

#SECURITY

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#RUSSIA

#PASHINYAN

#TURKEY

#PUTIN

#ERDOGAN

#ALIYEV

#DIPLOMACY

#NAGORNO-KARABAKH

#CAUCASUS

#MILITARY

#REGION

04.11.2020 08:07